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Directed Attention and Nonparametric Learning -- by Ian Dew-Becker, Charles...

We study an ambiguity-averse agent with uncertainty about income dynamics who chooses what aspects of the income process to learn about. The agent chooses to learn most about income dynamics at the...

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In Search of a Spatial Equilibrium in the Developing World -- by Douglas...

In most developing countries, there is a large gap in average consumption per capita between urban and rural areas. One appealing interpretation of this gap is that it reflects a spatial equilibrium,...

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Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions under Uncertainty -- by Charles...

This paper discusses how limited ability to assess patient risk of illness and predict treatment response may affect the welfare achieved by adherence to clinical practice guidelines and by...

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Gentrification and the Amenity Value of Crime Reductions: Evidence from Rent...

Gentrification involves large-scale neighborhood change whereby new residents and improved amenities increase property values. In this paper, we study whether and how much public safety improvements...

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Patent Examiner Specialization -- by Cesare Righi, Timothy Simcoe

We study the matching of patent applications to examiners at the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Using test statistics originally developed to identify industry agglomeration, we find strong evidence...

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Do Parents Value School Effectiveness? -- by Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag A....

School choice may lead to improvements in school productivity if parents' choices reward effective schools and punish ineffective ones. This mechanism requires parents to choose schools based on causal...

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The Children of the Missed Pill -- by Tomas Rau, Miguel Sarzosa, Sergio S. Urzua

We use sharp, massive and unexpected price increases of oral contraceptives--product of a documented case of collusion among pharmaceutical retailers in Chile--as a natural experiment to estimate the...

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Does the Investment Model Explain Value and Momentum Simultaneously? -- by...

Two innovations in the structural investment model go a long way in explaining value and momentum jointly. Firm-level investment returns are constructed from firm-level accounting variables, and are...

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Are There Too Many Farms in the World? Labor-Market Transaction Costs,...

This paper seeks to explain the U-shaped relationship between farm productivity and farm scale - the initial fall in productivity as farm size increases from its lowest levels and the continuous upward...

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Machine Learning from Schools about Energy Efficiency -- by Fiona Burlig,...

In the United States, consumers invest billions of dollars annually in energy efficiency, often on the assumption that these investments will pay for themselves via future energy cost reductions. We...

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Do Americans Want to Tax Capital? Evidence from Online Surveys -- by Raymond...

A vast theoretical literature in public finance has studied the question of the desirability of capital taxation. Distinct from questions of the optimality of taxing wealth is whether it is politically...

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Labor Supply and the Value of Non-Work Time: Experimental Estimates from the...

We use a field experiment to estimate the marginal value of non-work time (MVT). During a national application process for phone survey and data entry positions, we randomly offered applicants...

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All Together Now: Leveraging Firms to Increase Worker Productivity Growth --...

I describe a new policy that endows firms with limited-duration, virtual shares in their own workers' future realized earnings growth. The policy seeks to leverage employers to address a key challenge...

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No Kin In The Game: Moral Hazard and War in the U.S. Congress -- by Eoin...

Why do wars occur? We exploit a natural experiment to test the longstanding hypothesis that leaders declare war because they fail to internalize the associated costs. We test this moral hazard theory...

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How Taxing Is Tax Filing? Using Revealed Preferences to Estimate Compliance...

This paper uses a quasi-experimental design and a novel identification strategy to estimate the cost of filing income taxes. First, using US income tax returns, I observe how taxpayers choose between...

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The Effect of the H-1B Quota on Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born...

The H-1B program allows skilled foreign-born individuals to work in the United States. The annual quota on new H-1B visa issuances fell from 195,000 to 65,000 for employees of most firms in fiscal year...

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How Do Peers Influence BMI? Evidence from Randomly Assigned Classrooms in...

Obesity among children is an important public health concern, and social networks may play a role in students' habits that increase the likelihood of being overweight. We examine data from South Korean...

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Measuring the Potential Health Impact of Personalized Medicine: Evidence from...

Individuals respond to pharmaceutical treatments differently due to the heterogeneity of patient populations. This heterogeneity can make it difficult to determine how efficacious or burdensome a...

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Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States -- by Jess...

We examine whether sentiment influences aggregate demand by studying the relationship between the Michigan Survey expectations concerning national output growth and future economic activity at the...

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Ethical Voting in Multicandidate Elections -- by Laurent Bouton, Benjamin G....

We study the behavior of ethical voters in multicandidate elections. We consider two of the most-widely used electoral rules around the world: the plurality rule and the majority runoff rule. Our model...

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